The Oklahoma Sooners and Ohio State Buckeyes are the two top ranked teams in college football. They both have their sights set on winning the Big 12 Conference Championship this weekend.
The alabama vs ohio state is a game that will be played on Saturday, November 3rd.
Before we get into this year’s Notable Bets college football preview, let’s take a look at one of Caesars Sportsbook’s most interesting contributions… uh… wagers this offseason: At 5,000-1 odds, bet $20 on Kansas to win the national championship.
Kansas has missed out on the national championship the previous two seasons, finishing a combined 3-18, but the bettor would earn $100,000 if the Jayhawks, who have a season win total of 1.5, manage to shock the world.
Moving on, this year’s preview includes a look at the offseason betting activity at sportsbooks, as well as coaches’ record against the spread and over/under numbers, as well as a wealth of data. But first, let’s look at a couple more interesting wagers.
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Important wagers
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$1,500 on Kansas to win by at least 1.5 points (+140). [PointsBet]
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$70,000 on Fresno State to win six games (-125). [Caesars Sportsbook] [Caesars Sportsbook] [Caesars
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$20,000 on Arizona State to win by more than 8.5 points (-120). [SuperBook]
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At 50-1, bet $3,500 on Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral to win the Heisman Trophy. Would pay a total of $175,000 net. [BetRivers]
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At 40-1, I’m betting $4,000 on Texas A&M to win the national championship. Would result in a net payment of $160,000. [BetMGM].
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At 20-1, I’m betting $2,500 for Michigan to reach the College Football Playoff. Would result in a net payment of $50,000. [BetMGM]
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At 28-1, I’m betting $1,500 on TCU to win the Big 12. Would result in a net payment of $42,000. [BetRivers]
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At 500-1 odds, bet $1,000 on UCLA to win the national championship. It would cost a total of $500,000. [SuperBook]
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At 200-1, bet $1,000 on Liberty to win the national championship. Would pay a total of $200,000 in cash. [Caesars Sportsbook] [Caesars Sportsbook] [Caesars
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$300 on Illinois to win the national championship at 500-1 odds. It would cost a total of $150,000. [Caesars Sportsbook] [Caesars Sportsbook] [Caesars
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At 10,000-1 odds, bet $10 on Kansas to win the national championship. Would pay out a total of $100,000. [SuperBook]
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At 1,000-1 odds, UMass to win the national title is worth $0.25. Would cost a total of $250.25. [DraftKings]
Notable national titles [via Caesars Sportsbook]
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Most bets
The largest sum of money
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Oklahoma
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Alabama
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Georgia
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Ohio State is a university in the state of Ohio
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Texas A&M
Notes about the national title:
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UCLA is the SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas’s greatest liability.
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The state of Oklahoma is BetMGM’s greatest liability.
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Circa Sports’ greatest liability is Tennessee.
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More than half of the money bet on bookmaker PointBet’s odds to win the national championship has gone to Alabama and Oklahoma.
Will Spencer Rattler is a character in the film Spencer Rattler of Oklahoma join the list of Sooner quarterbacks who have won the Heisman Trophy? Charlie Neibergall/AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall/AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall/AP Photo/Charlie
[Caesars Sportsbook] Heisman Trophy
Most bets
The largest sum of money
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Spencer Rattler
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Stroud, C.J.
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Robinson, Bijan
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Daniels, JT
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Casey Thompson is the quarterback for the Texas Longhorns.
Notes about the Conference Title:
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There were no bets on Penn State (+800) to win the Big Ten championship as of Tuesday at PointsBet.
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Georgia (+225) is the favorite to win the SEC championship with more bets and money than any other team. [PointsBet]
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1:34
Check out some of Georgia quarterback JT Daniels’ highlights ahead of his second season with the Bulldogs.
Table of Contents
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Over the last ten years, 8.77 percent of regular-season games have concluded with a three-point margin of victory, the most frequent margin of victory, followed by seven (7.87 percent), fourteen (4.38 percent), and ten (10 percent) (4.14 percent ).
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Over the last five regular seasons, the average points per game has been 56.9.
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Over the last five seasons, the average closing over/under total has been 56.5.
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51.8: The percentage of games in which the underdogs have covered the spread during the last five seasons. In four of the last five seasons, underdogs have covered the spread more times than favorites.
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Over the past five seasons, 51.6 percent of games have remained under the total.
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Alabama has won by a margin of 31.1 points at home in the past ten seasons, the most of any team.
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In last season’s games, the average spread differential—the difference between the winning margin and the closing spread—was 12.8 points, the biggest since 2003. The average spread difference in college football games over the past ten seasons has been 12.4.
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Kansas has had the lowest home-field advantage of any club during the past ten seasons, with a margin of victory of -12.8.
The power ratings of an oddsmaker
During a recent phone interview with ESPN, Ed Salmons, a seasoned oddsmaker at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, broke down his power ratings.
Salmons’ top five power rankings
1. The state of Alabama
2. Clemson University
3. The state of Oklahoma
4. The Ohio State Buckeyes
Georgia is number five.
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This season, the Daily Wager team looks at some of the major betting stories for the SEC in football.
Teams that have improved from the previous season to this season include:
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Utah State has a 13-point lead.
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Southern Miss has an 11-point lead.
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LSU leads by 11 points.
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Akron has a nine-point lead.
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Syracuse has an eight-point lead.
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Michigan State is leading by eight points.
Teams that have regressed from previous season to current season include:
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Buffalo is behind by 14 points.
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BYU is behind by ten points.
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Alabama is behind by eight points. “Trust me,” Salmons replied, “their number is still the highest I have of any team, and they’re down eight points.” “I had them playing to a figure that I’d never gotten close to until last year.”
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Florida is behind by eight points.
This season, bettors should keep an eye on Kansas State Wildcats head coach Chris Klieman. Matt Bush is a sports reporter for USA TODAY.
Coaches who bet against the spread and those who bet on the over/under.
Top 5 ATS (minimum 20 games) in a career:
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Ryan Day of Ohio State has a 70.0 percent chance of winning (14-6-0 ATS)
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Chris Klieman of Kansas State received 68.2 percent of the vote (15-7-0 ATS)
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Billy Napier of Louisiana received 64.7 percent of the vote (22-12-0 ATS)
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Chad Lunsford of Georgia Southern received 61.9 percent of the vote. (ATS: 26-16-0)
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Matt Campbell of Iowa State received 60.8 percent of the vote (62-40-3 ATS)
ATS career’s worst five:
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Nick Rolovich of Washington State University 34.0 percentage point (17-33-4 ATS)
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Chip Lindsey of Troy 39% of the population (9-14-0 ATS)
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Dana Dimel of UTEP received 39.4 percent of the vote (39-60-0 ATS)
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Michigan’s western region Tim Lester has a 40.5 percent chance of winning (17-25 ATS)
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Doug Martin of New Mexico State received 41.4 percent of the vote (65-92-3 ATS)
Top 5 against the spread in conference games (minimum of ten games):
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Ryan Day of Ohio State has a 75.0 percent chance of winning (11-4-0 ATS)
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Sam Pittman of Arkansas received 73.3 percent of the vote (7-3-0 ATS)
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Brent Brennan of San Jose State received 66.7 percent of the vote (18-9-3 ATS)
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Chris Klieman of Kansas State has a 66.7 percent success rate (12-6-0 ATS)
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Sean Lewis of Kent State received 65.0 percent of the vote (13-7-0 ATS)
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In conference games, the following are the worst five ATS performers:
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Tom Arth of Akron has 21.4 percent of the vote (3-11-0 ATS)
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Scot Loeffler of Bowling Green has a 23.1 percent chance of winning (3-10-0 ATS)
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Nick Rolovich of Washington State University 32.4 percentage point (11-23-2 ATS)
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Dana Dimel of UTEP has 36.9%. (24-41-0 ATS)
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Mel Tucker of Michigan State has 37.5 percent of the vote (6-10 ATS)
Top 5 ATS after a loss [season opener and coach’s first game with club excluded]:
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Billy Napier of Louisiana received 70.0 percent of the vote (7-3-0 ATS)
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Neal Brown is from West Virginia. 66.7 percent of people (18-9-0 ATS)
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Scott Satterfield of Louisville received 66.7 percent of the vote (18-9-1)
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Sean Lewis of Kent State received 66.7 percent of the vote (10-5-0 ATS)
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Willie Fritz of Tulane University 65.8% of the population (25-13-0 ATS)
After a defeat, the worst five ATS (minimum 10 losses) are:
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Tom Arth of Akron has a 20.0 percent chance of winning (3-12-0 ATS)
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Nick Rolovich of Washington State University 20.8 percentage point (5-19-2 ATS)
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Scot Loeffler of Bowling Green has a 25.0 percent chance of winning (3-9-0 ATS)
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Walt Bell of UMass received 30.8 percent of the vote (4-9-0 ATS)
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James Franklin of Penn State received 34.2 percent of the vote (13-25-1 ATS)
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Coaches with the best ‘over’ records [minimum of 20 games, including bowls]:
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Mike Norvell of Florida State received 62.9 percent of the vote. (39-23-0)
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Jonathan Smith of Oregon State received 61.3 percent of the vote (19-12-0)
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Chip Kelly of UCLA received 60.2 percent of the vote (50-33-0)
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Lincoln Riley of Oklahoma received 57.7% of the vote (30-22-1)
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Jim Harbaugh of Michigan received 57.5 percent of the vote (69-51-0)
Coaches with the best ‘under’ records [minimum of 20 games, including bowls]:
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Justin Wilcox of Cal has a 66.7 percent chance of winning (28-14-0)
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Terry Bowden of Louisiana-Monroe received 65.1 percent of the vote (30-56-0)
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Kalani Sitake, BYU: 62.5 percent (24-40-0)
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Chris Klieman of Kansas State has a 60.9 percent chance of winning (25-37-0)
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Luke Fickell of Cincinnati received 59.7% of the vote. (25-37-0)
Matt Willis and Mackenzie Kraemer of ESPN Stats and Information contributed to this story.
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